Dice-Kay What's His Name
Reader Andre sends in the best argument I've seen yet for the Sox going after Dice-Kay What's His Name:
The Red Sox are currently in a unique economic position among MLB teams -- they sell out every game, which gives them pricing power to support the highest ticket and concession prices (by far). [I won't give you my related argument on why Manny Ramirez is the most valuable player in baseball history.] This in-park revenue is what allows them to compete in their division, which is generally the toughest. In 2006, all the tickets were sold, but there were a lot of empty seats in September.
To maintain the sellouts, they must always appear to be competitive. Because their rotation is weak (and a trade for good pitching almost out of the question), they HAVE to sign one of the three top starters available as a matter of credibility. Really good free agent starters are rare -- even small-market teams (Florida, Minnesota, Milwaukee) are tying up topflight pitchers with big contracts. They were going to "overpay" whatever they did, and the prices of Schmidt and Zito (the former has health issues, and I don't much like the latter) will be pushed up because it'll be an auction situation with only two options at first, and then one.
I don't think there is a clear-cut bottom-line business argument here, but I do believe that the circumstances cast light on how the front office and ownership came to make the decision.
Reader Andre and Reader B (
see here) are slowly and effectively chipping away at my first-instinct resistance to this deal. I hope my skepticism is proven wrong. But the dollar figures still don't add up in my mind. If the Sox fork over $51 million to negotiate with Matsuzaka and then give him an additional $16 million a year over three years, that adds up to spending $33 million per year for him. Are star pitchers getting that now? Knock the $16 million down by a couple million, and you still get mind-boggling numbers. No matter what, it all seems such a gamble for a guy who's never played in America -- assuming the Sox are serious about signing him.