Thursday, January 10, 2008
'The odds'
Wayne lays down the odds for each candidate. I initially thought he was being too generous to Mitt, but he's right not to dismiss him. ...
... Listened a bit to Michael Graham's show this morning. If I heard it right, Chris Matthews is apparently ranting about Obama and racisim and Boston and New England, blah, blah, blah (I assume the rant can be found somewhere here). Let me get this straight: If someone votes against Hillary, it's sexism. If someone votes against Obama, it's racism. ... Kerry to endorse Obama. I guess that makes him a sexist. ...
Update -- Maybe a variation of the Bradley effect did occur. But it doesn’t mean voters lied to pollsters. Some voters just don't talk to pollsters – so pollsters made calculated guesses at what they were thinking and got them wrong. Interesting. … BTW: It explains why polls might have been wrong. It doesn’t explain why Hillary won. It certainly doesn't explain why Obama nearly won. ...
Update II -- But then this pollster suggests it was about compressed time between Iowa and NH. ... I give up. I'm tired of frigging polls and pollsters. They blew it. That's all I know. ...
Wayne lays down the odds for each candidate. I initially thought he was being too generous to Mitt, but he's right not to dismiss him. ...
... Listened a bit to Michael Graham's show this morning. If I heard it right, Chris Matthews is apparently ranting about Obama and racisim and Boston and New England, blah, blah, blah (I assume the rant can be found somewhere here). Let me get this straight: If someone votes against Hillary, it's sexism. If someone votes against Obama, it's racism. ... Kerry to endorse Obama. I guess that makes him a sexist. ...
Update -- Maybe a variation of the Bradley effect did occur. But it doesn’t mean voters lied to pollsters. Some voters just don't talk to pollsters – so pollsters made calculated guesses at what they were thinking and got them wrong. Interesting. … BTW: It explains why polls might have been wrong. It doesn’t explain why Hillary won. It certainly doesn't explain why Obama nearly won. ...
Update II -- But then this pollster suggests it was about compressed time between Iowa and NH. ... I give up. I'm tired of frigging polls and pollsters. They blew it. That's all I know. ...
