Friday, September 24, 2010
Timmy Toast
The almost inevitable collapse has begun. Cahill is a very solid candidate, but he hasn't quite tapped into the zeitgeist out there. He senses it. But he can't convince enough people he genuinely sympathizes with it. ... Too early to make final predictions about the gubernatorial race. But it's looking better and better for Charlie Baker. My hunch is that he's going to pull it off if Cahill fades for good.
Update -- Now the campaign manager is bolting.
Update II -- Bert writes in about the rats jumping the Cahill ship:
The almost inevitable collapse has begun. Cahill is a very solid candidate, but he hasn't quite tapped into the zeitgeist out there. He senses it. But he can't convince enough people he genuinely sympathizes with it. ... Too early to make final predictions about the gubernatorial race. But it's looking better and better for Charlie Baker. My hunch is that he's going to pull it off if Cahill fades for good.
Update -- Now the campaign manager is bolting.
Update II -- Bert writes in about the rats jumping the Cahill ship:
Somebody got to Meldrum and Weaver. Look to the friend of a friend of whatever campaigns they go to next.
Should Cahill have known they would fly home when they were called? Would it have made a difference if he did? A man without a party has limited choices for who he throws in with. If he was smart he got his people some seasoning from these guys while they were pretending to be on his side.
I think he stays in out of spite. Does the defection of those two sink him further? I don’t think so. These guys weren’t going to do so much in the last month that they’ll be missed. His supporters already knew he wasn’t going to win. And his numbers were going to sink in the last 3-4 weeks the way they do with most spoilers.
