Thursday, June 28, 2012
SHOCKER: Supreme Court upholds ObamaCare

This is bigger than Joe Namath's upset win over the Colts in Super Bowl III: US Supreme Court upholds ObamaCare. So much for all those endless predictions that ObamaCare was going down, taking Obama's re-election chances with it. Except for Tom Goldstein, I didn't see any other pre-ruling prediction that the mandate would be upheld. I know there must have been similar predictions out there. But they were few and far between. ... Not a good day for Mitt, obviously. Obama would have instantly been on the ropes if the ruling had gone the other way. Now Obama has the opportunity to pull a little rope-a-dope after being on the defensive over the past few months. Update -- The GOP is already mobilizing for a political fight. But it's Obama who now has the momentum.

  Update II: From a conservative Hub Blog friend:
Just read your Hubblog update – I am not sure that this gives Obama momentum, so much as it gives his opponents fuel and purpose. I hereby predict that this ruling will be a boon for Republican Senate and Congressional candidates, who will now be able to box opponents into the “tax” corner. Fortunately most primaries have ended, or the Teaparty, likely reanimated by this ruling, would have put even more unelectable candidates into the general elections. I wish I could be as sanguine about how this ruling impacts Mitt – I still don’t think he wins, but it does force him now to react specifically and directly to an issue and to put forth a plan of some sort. So rather than dance and take a middling stance as he did on the immigration issue last week, he must now be direct and pointed. If he fails to do so he is toast. If he comes across cogent, forceful and comes with a plan that will choke the healthcare system any less than the monstrosity that is Obamacare, then he has a fighting chance. Does he have it in him? We will soon see. I’m going counter intuitively on this – If SCOTUS had overturned Obamacare, I believe this would have been hurtful to the Romney campaign. Likewise, pundits will now proclaim that Obama has momentum, but I don’t agree.(My money is still on Obama. But this makes the race more competitive, not less, I believe.)
And here's part of my response back to my friend:
Fair enough. I can see Republicans getting themselves pumped up for a major political fight. That's the way it should be. ObamaCare was a creation of politics. Any repeal can and should be based on push-back politics. But, today, Obama can now switch to the offensive on this issue. It's a big triumph for the president. ...
 




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