There's no one like Bruce Springsteen... so why/how does such a great artist reduce himself to a B-level Woody Guthrie partisan propagandist? He babbles on tonight in Des Moines about "blind greed and overreach..." OK, men and women are not angels... but does he ever wonder about some of those who can afford to buy the best seats at his amazing concerts without a second thought for their paychecks?
Gotta admire Nate Silver sticking to his projections: If he's right, he's right. Am almost half way through The Signal and the Noise, which provides great insight into how Silver builds his election model, as well as an admirable self-criticism about the shortcomings of his prior statistical models for projecting baseball performance, and the valuable data they did not take into account - e.g. scouting reports. Was picking the 2007 Red Sox versus overmatched competitors the equivalent of Obama in 2008, much as the intangibly-tinged, probability-warping expectations of 2011 Sox prove the equivalent of 2012 Obama?
Speaking of baseball, hopefully Silver remembers this set of probabilities.
Dan Drezner nicely summarized what this may or may not mean for the 2012 Presidential Election: .
May the best man win!